12 December 2017Insurance

RenRe, Validus record worst combined ratios after hurricanes: Fitch

RenaissanceRe Holdings and Validus Holdings registered the highest combined ratios in the first nine months of 2017, according to Fitch Ratings.

RenaissanceRe’s combined ratio was 156 percent between January and September 2017 while Validus Holdings’ was 141 percent as the companies hold the greatest proportion of property catastrophe business of global reinsurers.

Overall, non-life reinsurers’ underwriting results weakened significantly in the first nine months of 2017 to a 116 percent reinsurance combined ratio from 91 percent in the same period of 2016.

The deterioration in the combined ratio was driven by 28 points of near record catastrophe losses, primarily from hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria.

Each global reinsurer that Fitch tracks reported a nine month 2017 reinsurance combined ratio over 100 percent with the exception of PartnerRe with 99 percent.

The catastrophes dented the capitalization of some reinsurers. Double-digit shareholders’ equity declines led to negative rating outlooks at AXIS Capital Holdings (13 percent) and XL Group (11 percent). Sirius International Insurance Group had the largest decline at 15 percent, driven by a change in capital structure and catastrophe losses. It should be noted, however, that Sirius says its common shareholder’s equity only dropped 5 percent as a result of the third quarter 2017 cat activity compared to 2016 with the remainder of the change related to Fitch’s treatment of recently issued subordinated Tier 2 debt.

Overall, shareholders’ equity declined by only 1 percent for Fitch’s group of reinsurers in the first nine months of 2017 (excluding Berkshire Hathaway). FairfaxFinancial Holdings had the highest growth at 47 percent, due to its acquisition of Allied World Assurance Holdings.

The nat cat events of the third quarter of 2017 will drive the industry into an underwriting loss in the full year. Fitch forecasts a 110 percent reinsurance combined ratio, the worst underwriting result since 113 percent registered in 2011.

But following the losses, market conditions in reinsurance are poised to improve. Fitch forecasts a 2018 reinsurance combined ratio of 96 percent, reflecting an average level of market catastrophe losses of eight points, down from 22 points in 2017. The underlying combined ratio should improve slightly in 2018 as reinsurance market pricing appears to have reached a bottom in 2017 and is expected to turn positive in 2018.

Nevertheless, earnings are expected to barely cover the cost of capital in 2018. Fitch forecasts a 7.1 percent return on equity (ROE) in 2018 for global reinsurers, just above the estimated 6–7 percent cost of capital, as both underwriting and investment results remain stressed.

Take part in our reader survey to be in with a chance to win a £3,000 corporate subscription to Intelligent Insurer

More of today's news

Zurich in $2.14bn Australian life acquisition

Insurtech Quantemplate secures funds for expansion, appoints CEO

Sompo prepares for global top 10 spot

The Hartford personal lines leader steps down after 30 years

Talanx finances €1.17bn offshore wind farm

Don't miss our insurtech email newsletter - sign up today

Already registered?

Login to your account

To request a FREE 2-week trial subscription, please signup.
NOTE - this can take up to 48hrs to be approved.

Two Weeks Free Trial

For multi-user price options, or to check if your company has an existing subscription that we can add you to for FREE, please email Elliot Field at efield@newtonmedia.co.uk or Adrian Tapping at atapping@newtonmedia.co.uk


More on this story

Insurance
11 January 2018   Life reinsurer Reinsurance Group of America (RGA) and RenaissanceRe have partnered to launch a new global reinsurer targeting large in-force life and annuity blocks of business.
Insurance
11 December 2017   Bermuda-based re/insurer Validus Holdings has made several leadership appointments, reflecting an organisational change that results in three new reportable segments - reinsurance, insurance and asset management.
Insurance
6 December 2017   Bermuda-based RenaissanceRe Holdings estimated the losses from the October 2017 California Wildfires will have a net negative impact of $90 million on its fourth quarter 2017 results of operations.